Another kick in the teeth for the pipeline industry! Recently, a Montana judge issued a ruling blocking construction of the Keystone XL line and ordered new environmental studies to be completed on the long-delayed project.
President Trump, who approved Keystone shortly after taking office, reacted angrily, calling the decision “a disgrace”. Officials of TransCanada Inc. were probably seething but public comment was limited to an assurance the project would eventually go ahead. Meantime, the company’s share price fell 1.7 per cent on the news.
On the surface, it seems no one likes pipelines any more. Environmentalists hate them and are determined to block the construction of any new ones. Their end game, of course, is the strangulation of the entire Canadian fossil fuels sector. Such a result would have minimal impact on the global fight against climate change but a major impact on our economy.
Investors have soured on pipelines in part because of the controversies they generate but also because they are notoriously interest sensitive. As a result, their share prices have been sinking as rates move higher at an increasing pace. TransCanada Corp. (TSX, NYSE: TRP) has seen its price drop from $65.18 last November to $52.53 recently – a loss of 19 per cent. Enbridge (TSX, NYSE: ENB) has fallen from $51.04 in January to $42.64 last week – down more than 16 per cent. No investor wants to see those kinds of numbers.
But I believe there is still life in this sector, for several reasons.
Continued profitability. Pipeline companies continue to produce good earnings and rising revenues. On Nov. 1, TransCanada Corp. reported record third-quarter results. Net income attributable to common shares was $928 million ($1.02 per share) compared to $612 million ($0.70 per share) for the same period in 2017. Comparable earnings were $902 million ($1 per share) compared to $614 million ($0.70 per share) last year. For the first nine months of the fiscal year, comparable earnings were $2.82 per share, an increase of 24 per cent from 2017.
Enbridge reported adjusted third-quarter earnings (which stripped out unusual and one-time items) of $933 million ($0.55 per share). That compared to $632 million ($0.39 per share) a year ago. For the first nine months, adjusted earnings were $3.4 billion ($2.01 per share) compared to just under $2 billion ($1.33 per share) last year.
Those numbers speak for themselves. Pipeline companies are doing very well financially, despite all the flack they’re getting.
Expansion plans. We’re all aware of the problems with the Trans Mountain pipeline and TransCanada’s Keystone XL continues to be stalled by various legal challenges. But new pipelines are still being built and more are on the way.
Enbridge brought $7 billion of new projects into service in 2018. They included the US$1.3 billion Nexus and US$200 million Teal gas pipeline projects that began service in October and the US$1.6 billion Valley Crossing gas pipeline project that will become operational this month.
Enbridge’s biggest current project, the $9 billion Line 3 Replacement Project, has now cleared all legal hurdles and the company expects it to come into service in the second half of 2019. It will provide more desperately needed export capacity to Western Canadian producers, although not to tidewater.
TransCanada announced that it will proceed with construction of the $6.2 billion Coastal GasLink pipeline project, which will link the huge gas fields of north-eastern B.C. to the planned new LNG Canada export terminal in Kitimat. All 20 First Nations involved have approved to the project.