Stock Market: Despite Problems, Pipeline Companies Offer Stability, High Yields
Despite problems in the industry, pipeline companies offer a combination of stability, above average yields, and steady growth. Photo: FG Trade/Getty Images
Everyone knows the woes of Canada’s pipeline industry.
The dream of a game-changing link from Alberta’s oil fields to the US Gulf Coast, was wiped out by a stroke of Joe Biden’s pen as he killed Keystone XL on his first day in office. Energy East, which would have carried western oil to the Maritimes, was vetoed by implacable opposition from Quebec. Northern Gateway, Enbridge’s plan to link Alberta oil with tidewater in northern British Columbia, was derailed by an alliance of environmentalists and indigenous communities.
Even long-established pipelines are under siege. The state of Michigan is trying to force Enbridge to close down Line 5, which runs beneath the Straits of Mackinac, because of oil spill concerns. The pipeline has been in operation since 1953.
Only two major new pipelines appear likely to be completed. One is the federally owned Trans-Mountain project, which twins an existing line between Edmonton and B.C.’s lower mainland. The other is Coastal GasLink, a natural gas line being built by TC Energy that links gas fields in northern B.C. to a new liquefied natural gas terminal in Kitimat. The problem is that costs have escalated by a whopping 70 per cent due in part to opposition from some indigenous leaders, which has led to lengthy delays.
With all these problems, you’d think the pipeline industry would be struggling to stay afloat. Not at all — in fact, it’s one of the best places for income investors to put their money these days. Pipeline companies offer a combination of stability, above average yields, and steady growth.
Enbridge, which recently reported third-quarter results, is currently paying a quarterly dividend of $0.86 a share ($3.44 a year) and that’s expected to rise by at least 5 per cent in February. The yield is 6.1 per cent based on a recent price of $55.94.
TC Energy is paying $0.90 per quarter ($3.60 a year) to yield 5.5 per cent annually. It will likely raise its payout in the spring.
Pembina Pipeline recently boosted its monthly dividend by 3.5 per cent, to $0.2175 to yield 5.5 per cent. The company’s stock was under selling pressure during the pandemic as investors were expecting a dividend cut. It never happened, as management vowed to protect the payout.
The price of these storks has dropped in recent months in the face of rising interest rates. That’s to be expected: as yields on safe government bonds rise, higher risk stock yields are pushed up to compensate, which translates into share price declines. Income investors should not be overly concerned by these market fluctuations but focus instead on the quality of their holdings and the stability of the dividends.
Here is an update on the pipeline picks in my Income Investor newsletter. Prices are as of the close on Nov. 25.
Enbridge Ltd. (ENB-T)
Type: Common stock
Current price: $55.94
Annual payout: $3.44
Yield: 6.1 per cent
Comments: Enbridge recently reported strong third quarter results. Adjusted earnings were $1.4 billion ($0.67 per share), compared with $1.2 billion ($0.59 per share) in the same period of 2021. Adjusted earnings before interest, income taxes and depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) were $3.8 billion, up from $3.3 billion in 2021.
Cash provided by operating activities was $2.1 billion, compared with $2.3 billion in 2021. Distributable cash flow came in at $2.5 billion ($1.24 per share), compared with $2.3 billion ($1.13 per share) last year.
“The fundamentals of our business continue to be positive; it’s clear that the world needs all forms of energy to meet future demand, especially in the context of the energy security, reliability, and affordability challenges that everyone is faced with in today’s environment,” said retiring CEO Al Monaco.
How does Enbridge manage to grow its business in the face of all the anti-pipeline opposition? Acquisitions, a shift to green energy projects, and below-the-radar pipeline construction all play a role.
Recently, the company announced it has purchased U.S. renewable project developer, Tri Global Energy, for US$270 million in cash and assumed debt plus up to US$50 million of contingent payments, based on the completion of projects now underway. Tri Global is the third largest onshore wind developer in the U.S., with a portfolio of wind and solar projects of over seven gigawatts.
The company is also spending $3.6 billion on an expansion of the T-South section of the B.C. Pipeline System, which will increase capacity by 300 million cubic feet of gas per day.
Enbridge reaffirmed its 2022 financial guidance, which includes adjusted EBITDA between $15-$15.6 billion and distributable cash flow per share between $5.20 and $5.50.
Pembina Pipeline Corp. (PPL-T)
Type: Common stock.
Current price: $47.51
Annual payout: $2.61
Yield: 5.5 per cent
Risk rating: Moderate
Comments: Pembina owns and operates an integrated system of pipelines that transport various products derived from natural gas and hydrocarbon liquids produced primarily in western Canada. The company also owns and operates gas gathering and processing facilities and an oil and natural gas liquids infrastructure and logistics business.
Like Enbridge, Pembina had a strong third quarter. Revenue was almost $2.8 billion, up from $2.1 billion in the same period of 2021. Earnings were $1.8 billion ($3.23 per diluted share), compared to $588 million ($1.01 per share) a year ago. However, it’s important to note that this year’s results included a $1.1 billion gain on the sale of assets related to the formation of Pembina Gas Infrastructure.
The company had previously announced it was merging its Western Canadian natural gas processing assets with KKR to create a new joint venture entity. The value of the combined entity will total $11.4 billion, of which PPL will own 60 per cent.
Adjusted third quarter EBITDA was $967 million, beating the consensus estimate of $883 million.
TC Energy Corp. (TRP-T)
Type: Common stock
Current price: $65.97
Annual payout: $3.60
Yield: 5.5 per cent
Comments: TC Energy owns and operates 93,300 km of natural gas pipelines and 653 billion cubic feet of storage in Canada, the U.S., and Mexico. It also has a 4,900 km network of oil pipelines, which supply Alberta crude to the U.S. market. As well, TC Energy invests in several power generation facilities, including wind, solar, and nuclear.
Third quarter results showed net income attributable to common shares of $841 million ($0.84 per share). That was modestly higher than the $779 million ($0.80 per share) posted in the prior year.
For the first nine months of the 2022 fiscal year, TRP reported earnings of $2.1 billion ($2.11 per share), up from $697 million ($0.72 a share) in 2021. The reason for the large disparity is that last year’s first quarter included a large write-off relating to the demise of the Keystone XL pipeline.
CEO François Poirier said: “Demand for our services across our North American portfolio remains high and we continue to see strong utilization, availability, and overall asset performance. Comparable EBITDA was 10 per cent higher and segmented earnings 16 per cent higher relative to third quarter 2021. As a result, we have increased our 2022 comparable EBITDA outlook which is now expected to be approximately 4 per cent higher than 2021.”
I recommend all three of these companies for income-oriented investors who are interested in steady cash flow and are willing to live with day-to-day price movements.
Gordon Pape is Editor and Publisher of the Internet Wealth Builder and Income Investor newsletters. For more information and details on how to subscribe, go to www.buildingwealth.ca.
Blockchain and Longevity? They’re Talking About It
What Quantum Technology Means for Canada’s Future
Q&A With Gordon Pape: Finding a Tax Efficient ETF for Retirement